GSA Annual Report/Jaarverslag 2015 - page 36-37

logboeke byhou, naamlik ‘n dieselstorings- én ‘n
dieselgebruiklogboek. Die dieselgebruiklogboek is
egter onprakties omdat die hoeveelheid diesel in die
voertuigtenk onbekend is wanneer diesel ingegooi word.
Graan SA en Agri SA het aanbeveel dat die storingslogboek
voldoende sal wees om bewys van dieselgebruik te lewer.
DIE LANDBOUMASJINERIEBEDRYF
Die verkope van landboumasjinerie hang van talle faktore
af, waarvan prys die belangrikste is. Die meeste landbou-
masjinerie word ingevoer. Die verswakking van die rand dra
tot hoë pryse vir landboumasjinerie by, en omgekeerd.
PRYSE
Die pryse van landboumasjinerie het gemiddeld met
3,3% gestyg vanaf September 2014 tot September 2015,
en met 4,5% van Oktober 2014 tot Oktober 2015. Die
verswakking van die rand gedurende hierdie periode
het ‘n negatiewe uitwerking op jaar-tot-jaarpryssty-
gings gehad (
Tabel 6
op bl 33). Daar word verwag
dat die mielieprysindeks in die komende seisoen sal
verswak teenoor die prysindeks van trekkers, wat
geweldig gestyg het (
Grafiek 7
).
MIELIEPRYS TEENOOR TREKKER- EN STROPERVERKOPE
Dit lyk asof die mielieprys die vernaamste faktor is wat die
verkope van trekkers en stropers bepaal.
Grafiek 8
toon
a diesel storage logbook and a diesel usage logbook.
However, the diesel usage logbook is impractical because
the amount of diesel in the vehicle’s tank is unknown when it
is filled with diesel. Grain SA and Agri SA recommended that
the storage logbook would be sufficient to provide proof of
diesel usage.
THE AGRICULTURAL MACHINERY INDUSTRY
Agricultural machinery sales are dependent on many
factors, with price being the most significant one. Most of
the agricultural machines are imported. The weakening of
the rand contributes to high agricultural machinery prices
and vice versa.
PRICES
The prices for agricultural machinery have increased on
average by 3,3% from September 2014 to September 2015
and by 4,5% from October 2014 to October 2015. The
weakening of the rand during this period had a negative
effect on year-on-year price increases (
Table 6
on p 33).
The maize price index is expected to decrease in the
coming season compared to the price index of tractors,
which increased immensely (
Graph 7
).
MAIZE PRICE VERSUS TRACTOR AND HARVESTER SALES
The maize price seems to be the main factor determining
the sales of tractors and combine harvesters.
Graph 8
shows
die sterk korrelasie tussen trekkerverkope en die mielieprys.
Trekkerverkope was laer gedurende 2014 toe die mielieprys
sywaarts beweeg het.
Stroperverkope toon ook ‘n positiewe verwantskap met
die gemiddelde jaarlikse mielieprys (
Grafiek 9
). Die styging
in stroper- en trekkerverkope kan ook aan tegnologiese
vordering toegeskryf word, want produsente gradeer
steeds hulle toerusting op.
TREKKERVERKOPE
Grafiek 10
verteenwoordig wat tans in die Suid-Afrikaanse
the strong correlation between tractor sales and the maize
price. Tractor sales were lower during 2014 when the maize
price moved sideways.
Harvester sales also show a positive relationship to the
average annual maize price (
Graph 9
). The increase
in harvester and tractor sales can also be attributed
to technological advances, as producers continue to
upgrade their equipment.
TRACTOR SALES
Graph 10
depicts what is currently happening with tractor
Industry Services division
Afdeling bedryfsdienste
dieselbedryf (vervolg)
Diesel industry (continued)
Input research and development
Insetnavorsing en -ontwikkeling
34
35
Annual tractor sales versus average annual maize price
Jaarlikse trekkerverkope teenoor gemiddelde jaarlikse mielieprys
8
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source/
Bron
: AGFACTS (2015) & Grain SA/
Graan SA (2015)
Annual average
maize price
Jaarlikse gemiddelde
mielieprys
Annual tractor sales
Jaarlikse
trekkerverkope
Graph
Grafiek
R/t
2 750
Tractor sales/
Trekkerverkope
9 000
Indices of the producer price for maize and the price of tractors
Indekse van die produsenteprys vir mielies en die pryse van trekkers
7
1985/1986
1986/1987
1987/1988
1988/1989
1989/1990
1990/1991
1991/1992
1992/1993
1993/1994
1994/1995
1995/1996
1996/1997
1997/1998
1998/1999
1999/2000
2000/2001
2001/2002
2002/2003
2003/2004
2004/2005
2005/2006
2006/2007
2007/2008
2008/2009
2009/2010
2010/2011
2011/2012
2012/2013
2013/2014
2014/2015*
2015/2016*
Indices/
Indekse
: 1985/1986 = 100
Source/
Bron
: Grain SA/
Graan SA
* Preliminary/
Voorlopig
Tractor price index
Trekkerprysindeks
Maize price index
Mielieprysindeks
Graph
Grafiek
Index/
Indeks
1 600
1 400
1 200
1 000
800
600
400
200
0
2 500
2 250
2 000
1 750
1 500
1 250
1 000
750
500
250
0
8 000
7 000
6 000
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
Annual harvester sales versus average annual maize price
Jaarlikse stroperverkope teenoor gemiddelde jaarlikse mielieprys
9
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source/
Bron
: AGFACTS (2015) & Grain SA/
Graan SA (2015)
Annual average
maize price
Jaarlikse gemiddelde
mielieprys
Annual harvester
sales
Jaarlikse
stroperverkope
Graph
Grafiek
R/t
2 750
Harvester sales/
Stroperverkope
400
Source/
Bron
: Grain SA/
Graan SA
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual tractor sales
Jaarlikse trekkerverkope
10
Graph
Grafiek
Units/
Eenhede
9 000
Average tractor sales/
Gemiddelde trekkerverkope
= 5 239 units/
eenhede
Source/
Bron
: Grain SA/
Graan SA
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Total tractor fleet
Totale trekkervloot
11
Graph
Grafiek
Units/
Eenhede
210 000
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2 500
2 250
2 000
1 750
1 500
1 250
1 000
750
500
250
0
8 000
7 000
6 000
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
1 000
0
190 000
170 000
150 000
130 000
110 000
90 000
70 000
50 000
1...,16-17,18-19,20-21,22-23,24-25,26-27,28-29,30-31,32-33,34-35 38-39,40-41,42-43,44-45,46-47,48-49,50-51,52-53,54-55,56-57,...104
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