2
Average producer price = Safex, July 2016 price - average differential cost - handling costs
2
Gemiddelde produsenteprys = Safex, Julie 2016-prys - gemiddelde differensiaalkoste - hanteringskoste
deur internasionale pryse, verskepingskoste en die rand/dollar-
wisselkoers beïnvloed. Die meeste internasionale kunsmispryse
het op ‘n jaargrondslag gedaal, maar weens die verswakking
in die waarde van die rand het die meeste plaaslike
kunsmispryse gestyg.
KUNSMISPRYSE
Vanaf September 2014 tot September 2015 het die internasio-
nale pryse van ammoniak, ureum en kaliumchloried gedaal,
terwyl die prys van DAP gestyg het (
Tabel 1
op bl 29).
Die rand/dollar-wisselkoers het vanaf September 2014 tot
September 2015 met 24% verswak. Weens die depresiasie van
die wisselkoers het die internasionale pryse in randwaarde
minder gedaal of skerper gestyg as pryse in dollarterme
(
Tabel 2
en
Grafiek 2
op bl 29).
Vanaf Oktober 2014 tot Oktober 2015 het die plaaslike
pryse van KAN, MAP en kaliumchloried gestyg terwyl die
prys van ureum gedaal het (
Tabel 3
). Wat die ruilvoet tussen
die kunsmisprys en die mielieprys betref, kan ‘n vergelyking
tussen die produsenteprysindeks van mielies en die kunsmis-
prysindeks getref word (
Grafiek 3
). Teen ‘n geraamde gemid-
delde produsenteprys
2
van R2 169 per ton vir 2015/2016, het
die mielieprysindeks sedert die vorige jaar verswak weens
die styging in kunsmispryse. Dié prysgaping groei steeds.
KUNSMISMARK
Volgens Graan SA se produksiekostesyfers is R6,090 miljard
se kunsmis in die 2014/2015-seisoen vir mielieproduksie
gebruik. Dit is R8 miljoen minder as die vorige jaar en
word toegeskryf aan ‘n afname in die oppervlakte wat
aangeplant is.
Local fertiliser prices (R/ton)
Plaaslike kunsmispryse (R/ton)
3
Fertiliser
Kunsmis
October 2014
Oktober 2014
October 2015
Oktober 2015
% change
% verandering
R/ton
R/ton
KAN (28)
5 370
5 627
+5
Urea/
Ureum
(46)
6 400
6 291
-2
MAP
8 549
9 627
+13
Potash/
Kaliumchloried
6 876
7 278
+6
Table
Tabel
prices are influenced by international prices, shipping costs
and the rand/dollar exchange rate. Most of the international
fertiliser prices dropped on an annual basis, but because of
the weakening in the value of the rand, most local fertiliser
prices have risen.
FERTILISER PRICES
From September 2014 to September 2015 the international
price of ammonia, urea and potassium chloride decreased,
while the price of DAP increased (
Table 1
on p 29).
The rand/dollar exchange rate weakened by 24% from
September 2014 to September 2015. As a result of the
weakening of the exchange rate the international prices
dropped less in rand value or increased more sharply
than prices in dollar terms (
Table 2
and
Graph 2
on p 29).
From October 2014 to October 2015 the local prices of
LAN, MAP and potassium chloride increased, while the
price of urea dropped (
Table 3
). With respect to the terms
of trade between the fertiliser price and the maize price,
the producer price index for maize and the fertiliser price
index were compared (
Graph 3
). At an estimated average
producer price
2
of R2 169 per ton for 2015/2016 the maize
price index has weakened from the previous year due to the
increase in fertiliser prices. This price gap continues to grow.
FERTILISER MARKET
According to Grain SA’s production cost figures fertiliser to
the value of R6,098 billion was used in maize production
during the 2013/2014 production season. This is R8 million
less than the previous year, and is attributed to a decrease
in the area planted.
International and local herbicide prices
Internasionale en plaaslike pryse van onkruiddoders
4
Herbicides – international – year-on-year change (Sep 2014 - Sep 2015)
Onkruiddoders – Internasionaal – Jaar-tot-jaarverandering (Sept 2014 - Sept 2015)
September 2014 September 2015
% change
% verandering
$/ton
$/ton
Glyphosate/
Glifosaat
(95%)
4 807
3 328
-31
Acetochlor/
Asetochloor
(92%)
3 229
2 713
-16
Atrazine/
Atrasien
(97%)
3 340
2 769
-17
Metolachlor/
Metolachloor
(97%)
4 213
3 598
-8
R/ton
R/ton
Glyphosate/
Glifosaat
(95%)
52 853
45 493
-14
Acetochlor/
Asetochloor
(92%)
35 503
37 091
+5
Atrazine/
Atrasien
(97%)
36 723
37 856
+3
Metolachlor/
Metolachloor
(97%)
43 177
49 181
+14
Table
Tabel
International and local insecticide prices
Internasionale en plaaslike pryse van insekdoders
5
Pesticides – international – year-on-year change (Sep 2014 - Sep 2015)
insekdoders – Internasionaal – Jaar-tot-jaarverandering (Sept 2014 - Sept 2015)
September 2014 September 2015
% change
% verandering
$/ton
$/ton
Imidacloprid/
Imidaklopried
(95%)
17 612
14 019
-20
Lambda-cyhalothrin/
Lambda-sihalotrien
(95%)
23 797
21 932
-8
Carbofuran/
Karbofuraan
(99%)
12 062
10 971
-9
Deltamethrin/
Deltametrien
(98%)
71 529
64 549
-10
R/ton
R/ton
Imidacloprid/
Imidaklopried
(95%)
193 644
191 640
-1
Lambda-cyhalothrin/
Lambda-sihalotrien
(95%)
261 648
299 805
+14
Carbofuran/
Karbofuraan
(99%)
132 622
149 979
+13
Deltamethrin/
Deltametrien
(98%)
786 461
882 378
+12
Table
Tabel
Plaaslike beskikbaarheid van kunsmis
Die Kunsmisvereniging van Suidelike Afrika (FERTASA) het
Graan SA verseker dat daar genoeg kunsmis beskikbaar
sal wees vir die 2015/2016-produksieseisoen en dat tydige
aflewering nie ‘n probleem sal wees nie.
LANDBOUCHEMIKALIEËBEDRYF
Goeie vordering word met die registrasie van landbouche-
miese middels gemaak. Gereelde kontak met die Registra-
teur van Wet 36 van 1947 verseker dat chemiese middels
waarvoor daar ‘n behoefte is, wel geregistreer word.
PRYSE
Die aktiewe bestanddele van plaaslik-geformuleerde
landbouchemikalieë word ingevoer, dus het die wisselkoers
‘n direkte invloed op plaaslike pryse. Die internasionale pryse
van vier onkruiddoders wat op mielies gebruik word, kan
in
Tabel 4
in dollar- sowel as randterme gesien word. Die
internasionale pryse (dollarterme) van glifosaat, asetochloor,
atrasien en metolachloor het vanaf September 2014 tot
September 2015 gedaal. Die impak van die verswakking
in die rand/dollar-wisselkoers kan gesien word wanneer
die dollarprys na rand omgeskakel word.
Die internasionale insekdoderpryse het van September 2014
tot September 2015 gedaal (
Tabel 5
). Wanneer die invloed
Die Kunsmisbedryf (vervolg)
Local availability of fertiliser
The Fertiliser Association of Southern Africa (FERTASA),
has assured Grain SA that there will be enough fertiliser
available for the 2015/2016 production season and that
timeous delivery will not be a problem.
AGROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY
Good progress is being made with the registration of
agrochemicals. Regular contact with the Registrar of
Act 36 of 1947 assures that chemicals for which there
is a need are registered.
PRICES
The active ingredients of locally formulated agrochem-
icals need to be imported, therefore the exchange rate
has a direct impact on local prices. The international
prices of four herbicides used on maize can be seen in
Table 4
in dollar as well as rand terms. The international
price (dollar terms) of glyphosate, acetochlor, atrazine
and metolachlor decreased from September 2014 to
September 2015. The impact of the weakening of the
rand/dollar exchange rate can be seen when the dollar
prices are converted to rand.
The international insecticide prices decreased from
September 2014 to September 2015 (
Table 5
). When the
The fertiliser industry (continued)
Industry Services division
Afdeling bedryfsdienste
Input research and development
Insetnavorsing en -ontwikkeling
30
31
Indices of the producer price of maize and the fertiliser price
Indekse van die produsenteprys vir mielies en die prys van kunsmis
3
1985/1986
1986/1987
1987/1988
1988/1989
1989/1990
1990/1991
1991/1992
1992/1993
1993/1994
1994/1995
1995/1996
1996/1997
1997/1998
1998/1999
1999/2000
2000/2001
2001/2002
2002/2003
2003/2004
2004/2005
2005/2006
2006/2007
2007/2008
2008/2009
2009/2010
2010/2011
2011/2012
2012/2013
2013/2014
2014/2015*
2015/2016*
Indices/
Indekse
: 1985/1986 = 100
* Preliminary/
Voorlopig
Fertiliser price index
Kunsmisprysindeks
Maize price index
Mielieprysindeks
Graph
Grafiek
Index/
Indeks
2 000
1 800
1 600
1 400
1 200
1 000
800
600
400
200
0
