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43

a colour scale format – the highest values

have the darkest colours and the lowest

values, the lightest colours. SIQ created a

custom software package based on an open

source GIS package (QGIS) specifically for

pre-setting crop quality survey data.

The package requires Windows (Access and

Excel) interfaces and is relatively easy to im-

plement. The data from the selected eleven

year period was then analysed further. The

objective was to look for pointers towards

areas where specific traits may be consist-

ently higher or lower than the average when

compared with other areas.

For example, if a specific area always has

the highest protein value irrespective of

the season, it points towards something

unique in that region influencing the value,

and for this a liberal ANOVA test such as

the Fisher LSD test was used on the strati-

fied data set and integrated with the GIS

software. Other statistical tests (parametric

and non-parametric) can also be integrated

if needed.

Trends observed over the

past decade

In the examples shown here we have cho-

sen percentage protein, percentage starch,

hectolitre mass and milling index to illus-

trate the power of the new system. After

completion of the ANOVA test, areas that

were not statistically different from each

other were assigned the same colour.

Figure 1

and

Figure 2

show the map distri-

butions for protein.

Higher protein levels tend to be found in the

western parts of the country. On the other

hand, higher starch levels (

Figure 3

and

Figure 4

) can be seen in more of the

central and escarpment regions, as

well as regions where more produc-

tion takes place under irrigation, for

example close to the Gariep dam (regions

11 and 15). Many factors can influence pro-

tein and starch contents in maize, for exam-

ple higher rainfall tends to produce lower

protein levels and more starch.

Soil conditions such as pH and levels of mi-

cronutrients will also have a significant ef-

fect.Hectolitremass(

Figure 5

) ishigher inthe

western parts and milling index (

Figure 6

)

as an indication of milling quality and an im-

portant quality trait for millers, is also higher

in the western areas.

The project is now at a stage where more in-

depth studies are being planned in order to

explain trends observed on a regional level.

These maps will be updated every year and

the objective is to develop a system where

it can be made available online as in-

teractive maps. Similar maps for other

maize quality traits (grading results and

percentage bran) are available for the

same period.

Figure 2: Percentage of protein; eleven seasons combined (yellow maize).

Figure 3: Percentage of starch; eleven seasons combined (white maize).

Figure 4: Percentage of starch; eleven seasons combined (yellow maize).

June 2015