49 / 92
47
April 2015
Updated:
MAR - FEB
MAR - FEB
11 March 2015
26 FEB 2015
11 MAR 2015
Marketing year
2014/2015
2015/2016
Area planted (x 1 000 ha)
1 137
1 169
Yield (tons/ha)
5,75
4,25
CEC crop estimate ('000 tons)
6 540
4 968
Retentions and production of seed
382
350
Early deliveries 2014
Plus: Early deliveries 2015
Available for commercial deliveries
6 158
4 618
GRAIN SA
('000 TONS)
GRAIN SA
('000 TONS)
Commercial supply
Opening stocks (1 Mar )
678
1 164
Commercial deliveries
6 158
4 618
Imports (30 April)
0
934
Total commercial supply
6 836
6 716
Commercial demand
Commercial consumption
Food
468
473
Feed
3 428
4 476
Total
3 896
4 949
Other consumption
Gristing
13
14
Withdrawn by producers
97
105
Released to end-consumers
155
160
SAGIS
21
17
Total
286
296
Total South African consumption (commercial )
4 182
5 245
Exports
Products
109
90
Whole maize
1 381
148
Total
1 490
238
Total commercial demand
5 672
5 483
Carry-out (28 Feb)
1 164
1 233
Pipeline requirements (1,5 months): 28 Feb
487
619
Surplus above pipeline (28 Feb)
677
615
Consumption (2 months): 30 April
914
Early deliveries (Mar/Apr)
299
Shortage (30 April)
615
Outstanding after imports until 30 April (14 months)
0
Carry-out as a % of South African consumption: 28 Feb
27,84%
23,51%
Carry-out as a % of total commercial demand: 28 Feb
20,53%
22,49%
TABLE 6: THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR YELLOW MAIZE.
* Grain SA estimate
** Grain SA projection
“
...the expected price increase for
maize meal within a period of four
months will have a noticeable
impact on the food basket of the
maize consumer.
“
SA Grain/
Sasol Chemicals (Fertiliser) photo competition