48 / 92
April 2015
46
ON FARM LEVEL
Updated:
MAR - FEB
MAR - FEB
11 March 2015
26 FEB 2015
11 MAR 2015
Marketing year
2014/2015
2015/2016
Area planted (x 1 000 ha)
1 551
1 488
Yield (tons/ha)
4,97
3,16
CEC crop estimate ('000 tons)
7 710
4 695
Retentions and production of seed
137
110
Early deliveries 2014
Plus: Early deliveries 2015
Available for commercial deliveries
7 573
4 585
GRAIN SA
('000 TONS)
GRAIN SA
('000 TONS)
Commercial supply
Opening stocks (1 Mar )
944
2 081
Commercial deliveries
7 573
4 585
Imports (30 April)
0
0
Total commercial supply
8 517
6 666
Commercial demand
Commercial consumption
Food
4 263
4 305
Feed
1 487
439
Total
5 750
4 744
Other consumption
Gristing
34
35
Withdrawn by producers
56
40
Released to end-consumers
43
40
SAGIS
8
8
Total
141
123
Total South African consumption (commercial )
5 891
4 867
Exports
Products
90
70
Whole maize
455
432
Total
545
502
Total commercial demand
6 436
5 369
Carry-out (28 Feb)
2 081
1 297
Pipeline requirements (1,5 months): 28 Feb
719
593
Surplus above pipeline (28 Feb)
1 362
704
Consumption (2 months): 30 April
895
Early deliveries (Mar/Apr)
191
Shortage (30 April)
704
Outstanding after imports until 30 April (14 months)
0
Carry-out as a % of South African consumption: 28 Feb
35,33%
26,65%
Carry-out as a % of total commercial demand: 28 Feb
32,34%
24,16%
TABLE 5: THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR WHITE MAIZE.
* Grain SA estimate
** Grain SA projection
GRAIN MARKET-OVERVIEW