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Countries with high

import growth, but low global

import market share

These markets represent substantial export gains

whose potential can be utilised in

the future

Countries with

low import growth and low global

import market share

Weak demand growth means these countries need

to be reviewed further to determine if they can be

considered for expansion in the future

Countries with

high import growth and high global

import market share

These countries represent large potential export gains,

and it might be fairly easier to establish market presence

Countries with

low import growth, but high global

import market share

These countries might be good opportunities, but there

exists constraints to growing sorghum exports

High growth

Low growth

Low share

High share

Figure 1: The growth share matrix.

Figure 2: Analysis of the growth share matrix.

Source: ITC (2015) and own calculations

COUNTRY

MARKET SIZE

TARIFFS

Israel

R114 068

0,00%

United Arab Emirates

R11 309

5,00%

Niger

R49 877

5,00%

Djibouti

R48 509

1,00%

Cameroon

R21 228

17,50%

Republic of Korea

R24 810

391,20%

Ukraine

R13 971

2,00%

Italy

R166 453

1,60%

Germany

R105 295

1,60%

United Kingdom

R39 183

1,60%

Poland

R14 747

1,60%

Romania

R12 120

1,60%

United States of America

R124 677

0,00%

Peru

R76 223

0,00%

Bolivia

R37 989

10,00%

Brazil

R16 088

4,00%

New Zealand

R133 703

0,00%

Total value of markets

R1 010 250

COUNTRY

MARKET SIZE

TARIFFS

Sudan (North + South)

R253 147

0,0%

Ethiopia

R215 103

5,0%

Japan

R3 565 049

0,0%

Mexico

R3 695 739

0,0%

Chile

R835 438

6,0%

Total value of markets

R8 564 475

COUNTRY

MARKET SIZE

TARIFFS

Kenya

R158 424

25,0%

Botswana

R152 117

0,0%

Morocco

R96 566

2,5%

Eritrea

R66 937

2,0%

Zimbabwe

R60 242

10,0%

Egypt

R47 261

0,0%

Somalia

R19 326

-

Rwanda

R11 747

25,0%

Swaziland

R9 540

0,0%

Chad

R25 430

17,5%

Mali

R8 762

5,0%

Sri Lanka

R8 878

25,0%

Pakistan

R11 456

1,0%

Belgium

R93 953

1,6%

France

R64 409

1,6%

Netherlands

R47 991

1,6%

Bulgaria

R42 508

1,6%

Portugal

R23 191

1,6%

Uruguay

R72 804

4,0%

Argentina

R11 157

4,0%

Ecuador

R26 282

7,5%

Canada

R9 789

0,0%

Papua New Guinea

R34 938

0,0%

Total value of markets

R1 103 707

COUNTRY

MARKET SIZE

TARIFFS

Spain

R438 362

1,6%

Colombia

R772 024

10,0%

Total value of markets

R1 210 386

High growth low share

Low growth high share

Low growth low share

High growth high share

ON FARM LEVEL

GRAIN MARKET OVERVIEW

Junie 2015

50