SA Graan Februarie 2016

’N GOEIE KEUSE!

Afrika is nie net ’n plek nie; dit is ’n gevoel. As ’n

Afrika-maatskappy deel PANNAR jou liefde vir hierdie

vasteland en jou respek vir die veeleisende toestande.

Ons kombineer ons plaaslike ervaring en begrip met die

beste internasionaal-beskikbare, innoverende praktyke,

om aan Afrika-boere dinamiese, maar praktiese

boerderyoplossings te bied.

’N GOEIE BEGRIP

VIR PLAASLIKE

TOESTANDE.

2016/CORP/A/014A/SMART

www.pannar.com infoserve@pannar.co.za

ULTRAMODERNE

NAVORSINGEN

ONTWIKKELINGSTEGNOLOGIE

GEWASVOORSORG

OPTIMALISEER

PRODUKSIE

GEWASBESKERMINGS-

BESTUURSPRAKTYKE

Saam boer ons

vir die toekoms

™

Will there be enough maize to feed the

population within the region?

Southern Africa will not have enough grain to feed the population

from the region’s own production and carryover stocks. It is clear

that there is likely going to be a significant amount of maize (and

other grains) that will be imported from outside the region, with the

likely sources being Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and the Ukraine.

In a normal season, gross estimated available maize for the Southern

African Development Community (SADC) averages 30 million tons,

against requirements of 27 million tons (SADC, various years).

South Africa contributes between 40% and 42% of the regionally

available maize. From a maize perspective, the region has been rela-

tively self-sufficient, with record harvests from a number of coun-

tries, namely South Africa, Zambia and Malawi in the recent past.

In the previous season, a less favourable climate led to lower maize

production that reduced the crop by around 30% in South Africa,

17% in Zambia, 26% in Malawi and 50% in Zimbabwe (Grain SA,

2015 and GIEWS, 2016).

The steep decline in production meant that the region could count

on its carryover stocks to stabilise prices, which remained reason-

ably low across the region.

Given that all net exporting countries are under severe pressure due

to a second consecutive drought throughout Southern Africa, the

large parts of the region’s reduced crop triggered expectations of a

further significant decline in expected production.

Revised expectations coming from Zambia are that output will

decline by a third to 1,6 million tons, whereas sentiments from

South Africa suggests that this season’s harvest could possibly be

between 5 and 6 million tons.

The situation is worse in net importing countries such as Zimbabwe,

where production is expected yet again, to halve compared to the

previous season.